Nationwide, 68.6% of home offers written by Redfin agents faced bidding wars on a seasonally adjusted basis in February—the highest level in Redfin’s records, which date back to April 2020. That’s up slightly from a revised rate of 68% in January and 60.2% a year earlier. On an unadjusted basis, February’s bidding-war rate was 71.4%.
An offer is considered part of a bidding war if a Redfin agent reported that it received at least one competing bid. The statistics in this analysis are subject to revision. Data below on property type, price tier and metro area is not seasonally adjusted.
“It’s the most competitive time in history to purchase a home because mortgage rates are rising from historic lows amid a worsening supply shortage,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “Bidding wars intensified this year after rates started spiking, which lit a fire under buyers. Competition will likely plateau or even decline if rates keep increasing as expected. Monthly mortgage payments for new buyers are already at a record high. As they continue to creep up, some buyers will move to the sidelines.”
Mortgage rates have increased as the government seeks to combat inflation. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in four years this week. That caused the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate to jump past 4% for the first time since 2019, hitting 4.16% during the week ending March 17. That’s up from a record low of 2.65% roughly two years ago. The Fed forecast six more rate hikes this year despite economic uncertainty stemming from the war in Ukraine.
El Paso, TX had the highest bidding-war rate of the 50 U.S. metropolitan areas in this analysis, with 87.5% of offers written by Redfin agents facing competition in February. Next came Denver at 83% and Minneapolis at 81.1%. Raleigh, NC and San Francisco/San Jose rounded out the top five, with bidding-war rates of 80% and 79.9%, respectively.
“Housing inventory in El Paso is ridiculously low—especially for new-construction homes—which is brewing up bidding wars,” said local Redfin real estate agent Salvador Palos. “Buyers here have always loved new, turn-key homes, and those are nearly impossible to find because builders are delayed due to supply-chain issues and labor shortages. A lot of homeowners are also staying put because they’re worried about finding their next home at a time when the economy is so uncertain. It’s not uncommon for newer homes to get 10 to 15 offers and sell for $20,000 over the asking price.”
Metros must have had at least 20 offers recorded by Redfin agents in both February 2022 and January 2022 to be included in this analysis. Scroll down to the bottom of this report for a full metro-level table.
Three-quarters (75.3%) of Redfin offers for townhouses faced competition in February—a higher share than any other property type. Next came single-family homes, with a bidding-war rate of 72.9%. Multi-family properties and condos/co-ops essentially tied for third place, with respective rates of 64.8% and 64.6%.
Many homebuyers have sought out townhouses because they’ve been priced out of the market for single-family homes due to surging housing prices.
Homes listed in the $1 million to $1.5 million range were the most likely to face competition, with a bidding-war rate of 76.6% in February. Next came homes in the $600,000 to $800,000 range (73.8%), followed by homes listed for more than $1.5 million (73.1%).
The least competitive were homes listed for less than $200,000 (62.7%), followed by homes in the $200,000 to $300,000 range (67.9%). All other list-price buckets had bidding-war rates of more than 70%.
The table below is sorted by highest to lowest bidding-war rates in February 2022. Blank spaces in the February 2021 column represent metros for which there were fewer than 20 offers submitted by Redfin agents that month.
